Kitso Segolodi
03 Dec
03Dec

In the volatile world of tech stocks, rapid declines often create the most compelling opportunities. Pure Storage (PSTG) presents a textbook case, having shed over 30% from its recent highs to arrive at a critical technical juncture.

The market is now asking a single, urgent question: Is this a collapse or a contrarian setup?

Our analysis of the weekly chart reveals that the answer hinges on a precise price zone and the integrity of a key trendline.


The Immediate Bullish Signal: Holding $67.57

The fact that price is trading above $67.57 is the first positive sign. This level is now the immediate support to watch. A sustained hold here, especially on a weekly closing basis, suggests the aggressive selling may be exhausting and that this level is flipping from resistance to support.

The Deeper Safety Net: The Trendline Confluence

The primary, high-conviction support zone remains lower, between the major ascending blue trendline and the $53 - $56 price area. This is the bullish fortress. A successful test of the $67.57 level that leads to a rally would make this zone a secondary safety net. However, any break below $67.57 would bring this major support confluence squarely into focus.

The Price Pathway

As long as price holds above $67.57, the structure favors a bullish resolution with the following projections:

  • Initial Target: $98
  • Medium-Term Target: $118
  • Long-Term Target: $137

The invalidation of the bullish structure is now a two-stage process:

  1. First Warning: A break back below $67.57.
  2. Full Breakdown: A subsequent weekly close below the $53 trendline support.

The Strategic Takeaway

PSTG offers a high-risk, high-reward setup defined by clear technical levels.

Scenario
Trigger
Target 1
Target 2
Invalidation
Bullish Momentum
Hold & bounce from $67.57
$98
$118
Close < $67.57
Bullish Reversal (Deep)Hold & bounce from $53-56
$98
$118
Close < $53
Bearish Continuation
Close < $53
$45
$40
N/A

Bottom Line: The setup has evolved. Bulls are currently defending $67.57. This level is now the linchpin for a near-term recovery. Watch for a strong weekly close above $69.50 (current price) to confirm strength, with a break below $67.57 as the signal to shift focus to the deeper $53-56 support zone.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

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